關鍵數據公佈在即,英鎊​​兌美元有明確的支撐

在英國就業數據和美國CPI通膨數據公佈之前,英鎊兌美元匯率在關鍵技術水平上方徘徊。

GBPUSD – Daily Chart
英鎊兌美元-日線圖

英鎊兌美元匯率已攀升至1.3433阻力位上方,此阻力位標誌著2024年10月的高點。這將是對進一步上行和數據發布的支援。

英國就業數據將於香港時間週二下午2點公佈,分析師預計上月新增11.2萬個就業機會的數據將有所提升。然而,失業率預計將從4.5%上升至4.6%。

英國就業市場最近面臨壓力,就業機會減少。英國就業市場連續第二個月出現年增,更多公司發布季節性招聘廣告。但是,最近的數據顯示,每月平均薪資成長放緩。

根據其最新報告,4月份的職缺與去年同期相比上升了1.02%。然而,與3月相比,空置率略有下降,從0.95%降至862,876。

英國國家統計局也表示,截至2025年3月的三個月,平均固定收入(不含獎金)的年增率為5.6%。這一數字低於前一個月的5.9%,也是去年11月以來的最低水準。

由於最近對美元的負面情緒,英鎊兌美元匯率有所上升,但漲勢可能會失去動力。

未來一周,美國將於週三晚些時候發布CPI數據,這對該貨幣對來說可能是一個關鍵時刻,因為一周後聯準會將召開會議決定利率。疲軟的CPI數據可能會讓交易員預期美國降息,但在川普最近的言論之後,聯準會主席鮑威爾可能會保持立場。這將增加總統撤換聯準會主席的風險,這不是一個容易的過程。

倫敦正在進行的貿易談判也可能影響英鎊兌美元,因為中美之間的一項強有力的協議可能會刺激一些美元買盤。

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