經濟成長數據將推動本週歐元兌美元走勢

歐元兌美元匯率將受到歐洲和美國經濟成長數據的影響。

EURUSD - Daily Chart

歐元兌美元-日線圖

1.12仍是歐元兌美元接下來的關鍵支撐位,阻力位在1.16之前。

該貨幣對的數據從香港時間下午2點開始,以德國零售銷售數據的形式出現。德國4月消費者信心指數連續第二個月上升,但受當前經濟逆風影響,消費者信心仍低迷。最近的GfK消費者信心調查顯示,2025年5月指數將上升3.7點,至-20.6,但仍處於負值區域。

「美國政府貿易政策的調整尚未對德國消費者的情緒產生持續影響,」NIM的消費者專家Rolf Bürkl表示。 “相反,國內政治僵局的迅速解決似乎減少了不確定性的關鍵驅動因素,軟化了家庭的預防性儲蓄行為。”

歐元區最大經濟體零售銷售的改善可能在GDP數據公佈前提振歐元。

歐元區GDP成長數據將於香港時間下午5點公佈,經濟學家預計與上月一樣成長0.2%。然而,預計年增長率將年增至1%。美國晚上的數據是香港時間晚上8:15的ADP就業變化數據。 ADP數據被用作週五主要非農就業數據的晴雨表。由於川普總統削減公共部門,美國3月的職缺有所減少。

根據美國勞工部的數據,美國雇主在3月發布了720萬個職缺,低於2月的750萬個。有了這些數據,歐元兌美元匯率將轉向美國GDP成長數據和週五的非農業就業數據。交易員將從歐洲和美國央行的利率走勢中尋找任何線索。

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