香港股市仍在尋求關鍵的突破

恆生指數正處於一個重要的長期水平,潛在的突破可能為長期低點鋪平道路,為投資者提供了一個充滿希望的前景。

HK50 – Daily Chart

HK50指數—日圖

HK50指數目前收在16723點,在16000點的水平找到了雙底,顯示出了韌性。 2020年末低點的支撐位仍在發揮作用,更強勁的下行趨勢阻力線在17000點左右。 突破這一水平可以推動市場再次向20,000的水平,顯示其穩定性。

亞洲股市週五走低,亞洲市場普遍回落,此前聯準會一名官員的鷹派言論降低了聯準會最早將於今年6月降息的預期。

恆生指數週五下跌不到0.1%,無論聯準會採取何種舉措,拋售壓力都有所緩解。

明尼阿波利斯聯邦儲備銀行行卡什卡利表示,上週五公佈的強勁就業報告令降息下注者失望,而頑固的通膨可能會關閉美國今年降息的大門。

「如果我們繼續看到通膨橫擺,那麼我將質疑我們是否需要降息,」卡什卡利說,他上個月預計2024年將有兩次降息。 “目前經濟發展勢頭強勁。”

芝加哥商品交易所集團基於聯邦基金期貨的數據顯示,截至上週五,對聯準會6月會議降息的預期為54.3%,而週四為61.8%。 美國消費者物價指數2月年增3.2%,高於1月的3.1%。

恆生指數可能會因持倉率而波動。 然而,守住目前的支撐位並突破下行趨勢阻力位可能會導致香港股市反彈。 對該指數而言,突破17000點將是一個好的開始。

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