美股等待聯準會主席鮑威爾證詞

聯準會主席鮑威爾將於週二和週三出席國會聽證,這可能會刺激美國股市的下一步走勢。

SP 500 – 4H Chart

標準普爾500-4小時圖

標準普爾500指數正在測試5,578點的阻力位,如果看跌情緒佔上風,可能會出現回檔。

鮑威爾將回答美國政界人士就經濟和他對利率週期的處理提出的問題。

上週五,美國勞工部的就業報告稱,上個月非農業就業人數增加了20.6萬個,超過了19.1萬個的預期,但低於5月的21.8萬個。失業率也出乎意料地升至4.1%的兩年半高點。

「繼續。週五的就業報告應該會強化9月份降息的預期。經濟狀況正在降溫,這使得聯準會面臨不同的權衡,」Renaissance Macro的Neil Dutta表示。

上週,紐約聯邦儲備銀行行長威廉斯說,儘管通膨最近已放緩至該行2%的目標,但政策制定者仍遠未達到目標。 「通貨膨脹率目前在2.5%左右,因此我們在降低通貨膨脹率方面取得了重大進展。但我們仍有辦法在持續的基礎上達到2%的目標,」威廉斯表示。 “我們致力於完成這項工作。”

美國利率期貨反映出聯準會本月貨幣政策委員會會議降息25個基點的可能性只有6.7%。交易員認為,9月會議降息25個基點的可能性為69%。

基於利率將會下降的預期,美國股市持續走高。最新的通膨數據也將於週四公佈,這對美國股市來說可能是重要的一周。

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